Global Markets

The economy of a nation is the engine that drives prosperity and creates wealth for that country and its citizens. A nation's utilization of its available resources and manpower has a great influence upon its overall economic prowess. Factors such as governmental structure, access to valuable commodities, size and sophistication of the labor force, and relations with trade partners are all key components of achieving economic stability. Governmental politics play a crucial role in the resolution of many issues facing a nation. The potential impact upon international markets of U.S. President-elect Trump's economic policies, tensions between Russia and NATO, and…

  • FXCM Market Talk – Your Trading & Finance Podcast (Ep. 80)

    Last Friday’s NFP surprised to the upside printing at 339K – 193K was expected. Fed speakers talk about a skip in rate hikes and markets have repriced around this. Saudi Arabia announced a 1 million barrels/day cut for the month of July with an option to extend. The Reserve Bank of Australia surprised markets with a 25-bps hike but Bank of Canada is still expected to hold. On Friday we…

  • ISM Non-Manufacturing Price Component Is Moving in The Right Direction

    The US is predominantly a services-based economy. This makes the ISM non-manufacturing data particularly interesting. May’s figure was released today, printing at 50.3, down from 51.90 for April. This is a five-month low. When the numerical is above 50, companies are experiencing growth and expansion. The prices component of the survey came in at 56.2. This is down from 59.6 in April. The Fed is worried that services-based inflation is…

  • GDP and durable good numbers are masking weakness

    Advance GDP for Q4 printed at 2.9% q/q. This is lower than the previous 3.2% for Q3, but higher than the forecast of 2.6% q/q. Durable goods came in at 5.6% m/m - much higher than the expected 2.4% m/m. However, the data is hiding weakness. Consumer spending was lower than expected at 2.1% (2.9% - forecast), and there is a noticeable buildup in inventories. Given the weaker consumption, the…

  • How Has The Russia/Ukraine War Impacted The Markets?

    The Russian invasion of Ukraine in late-February 2022 brought historic volatility to the financial markets. Traders and investors alike were forced to address the financial fallout as the markets repriced products such as crude oil, wheat and the Russian ruble (RUB). As the situation developed into an extended armed conflict, asset pricing ebbed and flowed in response to key events. Unprecedented sanctions, logistics challenges and escalatory cycles all prompted periodic…

  • 3 Times To Cash-Out of An Investment

    According to Cornell Law School, an investment is "to put money in a certain manner so that it will generate revenue, such as investing money into a business, property, securities, a house, stocks, etc. with the purpose of generating income and obtaining a profit." Individuals invest for countless reasons, namely capital appreciation and wealth preservation. For investors, one of the most important financial decisions is when to exit an interest…

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